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Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. (GROV)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered modest sequential stabilization but continued YoY contraction: revenue $44.0M (+1.1% QoQ, -15.5% YoY), gross margin 55.4% (+150 bps YoY), adjusted EBITDA $(0.9)M (vs. $1.1M LY), and positive operating cash flow $1.0M .
- Results were pressured by eCommerce platform migration (weighing on AOV and order flow) and a smaller active subscriber base due to lower 2024 ad spend; order volume improved sequentially (+3.4% QoQ), while net revenue per order fell to $65.22 .
- FY25 guidance maintained on revenue (down mid-single-digit to low double-digit %) and narrowed on Adjusted EBITDA (now negative low single-digit millions to breakeven), reflecting increased ad spend to restore growth; management still expects slight YoY revenue growth in Q4 2025 .
- Wall Street (limited coverage) showed small beats: Q2 revenue $44.03M vs. $43.83M*; EPS $(0.087) vs. $(0.10)*; Q1 had missed both revenue and EPS; coverage remains thin (1 estimate) which can amplify stock moves on incremental news and guidance/tone shifts [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- Potential stock catalysts: progress resolving platform-migration frictions and rebuilding AOV/repeat rates, visible sequential revenue growth in 2H, gross margin resilience, positive cash generation, and any updates on HumanCo’s value-creation engagement with the Board .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Sequential improvement in revenue (+1.1% QoQ) and orders (+3.4% QoQ) as teams worked through platform migration issues; management emphasized cost discipline and positive operating and total cash flow in the quarter .
- Gross margin expanded 150 bps YoY to 55.4% on improved promotional efficiency and higher third-party vendor funding, despite tariff uncertainty and lower revenue base .
- Strategic positioning reinforced: expanded third‑party assortment (brands +47% YoY; products +59% YoY) and deepened focus on health/sustainability education and verified claims (e.g., Novi partnership; microplastics advocacy) .
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What Went Wrong
- Migration-related friction pressured AOV and revenue; management said the Q2 revenue shortfall vs. plan was “100% driven by this platform migration,” with AOV particularly impacted .
- Adjusted EBITDA turned negative $(0.9)M (vs. +$1.1M LY) on lower revenue/gross profit, and DTC net revenue per order declined 3.7% YoY to $65.22 .
- Active customers fell 10.9% YoY to 664k and total orders fell 12.6% YoY to 640k due to lagging effects from reduced 2024 ad spend and transition disruptions .
Financial Results
Quarterly trend (actuals)
Consensus vs. actuals (limited coverage)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs and operating metrics
Notes:
- YoY variances primarily reflect lower 2024 ad spend (smaller active base) and temporary disruptions from the platform migration; sequential gains reflect higher orders offset by lower AOV .
Guidance Changes
Rationale: Company is prioritizing topline rebuild via higher advertising investment while maintaining financial discipline; narrowing of EBITDA outlook reflects this choice .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was negative $900,000… the decline was primarily driven by the short term revenue impact of our e‑commerce platform migration. Importantly… we delivered positive operating and total cash flow” — CEO Jeff Yurcisin .
- “Our gross margin was 55.4%, up 150 basis points… due to higher third‑party vendor funding and more targeted promotional strategies” — Interim CFO Tom Siragusa .
- “We continued our third‑party assortment expansion growing the number of brands offered by 47% and individual products by 59% year over year” — CEO .
- “We are maintaining our full‑year revenue guidance, while narrowing our adjusted EBITDA outlook… prioritizing growth while maintaining financial discipline” — CFO .
- “The revenue drop in Q2 compared to our previous forecast was 100% driven by this platform migration, and it impacted AOV in particular” — CEO (Q&A) .
Q&A Highlights
- AOV pressure and migration: Management attributed lower net revenue per order to migration-related issues that impacted subscribers with long lists and those placing smaller orders; they rebuilt specialized experiences and expect improvements in repeat behavior and AOV as issues resolve .
- Marketing payback and spend: The company is seeing better LTV/CAC post‑migration and intends to lean into channels where paybacks meet higher standards than prior years, supporting H2 growth ambitions .
- Category mix shift: Grove is moving beyond cleaning into personal care, VMS, and clean beauty, guided by its standards and customer demand; category breakout not disclosed, but human health is the #1 strategic push in 2025 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Revenue $44.03M vs. $43.83M*, EPS $(0.087) vs. $(0.10)* — small beats; coverage thin (1 estimate for each) [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- Q1 2025: Revenue $43.55M vs. $47.01M*, EPS $(0.052) vs. $(0.03)* — both missed amid migration headwinds [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
- Implication: With only a single estimate, small operational changes or guidance tone shifts can drive outsized moves; consensus recalibration could follow if sequential growth and margin resilience persist into Q3/Q4.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Platform migration headwinds are receding; management expects sequential revenue growth into H2 and slight YoY growth in Q4, a key milestone after sustained declines .
- Gross margin durability (55.4%) despite macro/tariff noise, aided by higher vendor funding and tighter promotions, supports earnings power as volume rebuilds .
- Positive operating cash flow and ABL extension to 2028 provide liquidity runway to invest in growth while pursuing profitability discipline .
- Re‑accelerating, higher‑ROI advertising is intended to rebuild the active base and orders; watch for AOV normalization and repeat-rate recovery as migration issues fade .
- Strategic narrative broadened from “beyond plastic” to human health; assortment growth into beauty, personal care, VMS, and verified claims (Novi) may lift basket size and frequency over time .
- Governance/activism: HumanCo’s public letter and Board working group could surface strategic alternatives and operational catalysts; listing compliance plan acceptance reduces a technical overhang .
- Near-term trading setup: Low estimate coverage and a path to a Q4 return to YoY growth mean prints and guidance updates (plus proof of AOV/order normalization) are likely stock movers .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Q2 2025 P&L excerpts (company): Revenue $44.026M; Gross profit $24.395M; Operating loss $(3.490)M; Net loss $(3.626)M; EPS $(0.10) .
- Q2 2025 operating metrics (company): DTC Orders 640k; Active Customers 664k; DTC Net Revenue per Order $65.22; Operating cash flow $1.0M .
- Q1 2025 migration impact estimate: $2–$3M revenue headwind; GM 53.0%; Adj. EBITDA $(1.6)M .
Sources: Company press releases and earnings call transcripts as cited. All estimates marked with an asterisk are Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Citations
- Q2 2025 press release:
- Q2 2025 earnings call:
- Q1 2025 press release and call:
- Q4 2024 call:
- Other releases (context): Novi partnership ; Microplastics survey ; HumanCo letter .