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Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. (GROV)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered modest sequential stabilization but continued YoY contraction: revenue $44.0M (+1.1% QoQ, -15.5% YoY), gross margin 55.4% (+150 bps YoY), adjusted EBITDA $(0.9)M (vs. $1.1M LY), and positive operating cash flow $1.0M .
  • Results were pressured by eCommerce platform migration (weighing on AOV and order flow) and a smaller active subscriber base due to lower 2024 ad spend; order volume improved sequentially (+3.4% QoQ), while net revenue per order fell to $65.22 .
  • FY25 guidance maintained on revenue (down mid-single-digit to low double-digit %) and narrowed on Adjusted EBITDA (now negative low single-digit millions to breakeven), reflecting increased ad spend to restore growth; management still expects slight YoY revenue growth in Q4 2025 .
  • Wall Street (limited coverage) showed small beats: Q2 revenue $44.03M vs. $43.83M*; EPS $(0.087) vs. $(0.10)*; Q1 had missed both revenue and EPS; coverage remains thin (1 estimate) which can amplify stock moves on incremental news and guidance/tone shifts [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • Potential stock catalysts: progress resolving platform-migration frictions and rebuilding AOV/repeat rates, visible sequential revenue growth in 2H, gross margin resilience, positive cash generation, and any updates on HumanCo’s value-creation engagement with the Board .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Sequential improvement in revenue (+1.1% QoQ) and orders (+3.4% QoQ) as teams worked through platform migration issues; management emphasized cost discipline and positive operating and total cash flow in the quarter .
    • Gross margin expanded 150 bps YoY to 55.4% on improved promotional efficiency and higher third-party vendor funding, despite tariff uncertainty and lower revenue base .
    • Strategic positioning reinforced: expanded third‑party assortment (brands +47% YoY; products +59% YoY) and deepened focus on health/sustainability education and verified claims (e.g., Novi partnership; microplastics advocacy) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Migration-related friction pressured AOV and revenue; management said the Q2 revenue shortfall vs. plan was “100% driven by this platform migration,” with AOV particularly impacted .
    • Adjusted EBITDA turned negative $(0.9)M (vs. +$1.1M LY) on lower revenue/gross profit, and DTC net revenue per order declined 3.7% YoY to $65.22 .
    • Active customers fell 10.9% YoY to 664k and total orders fell 12.6% YoY to 640k due to lagging effects from reduced 2024 ad spend and transition disruptions .

Financial Results

Quarterly trend (actuals)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M)$49.5 $43.55 $44.03
Gross Margin %52.4% 53.0% 55.4%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(1.6) $(1.60) $(0.91)
Net Loss ($M)N/A$(3.55) $(3.63)
Diluted EPS ($)N/A$(0.10) $(0.10)

Consensus vs. actuals (limited coverage)

MetricQ1 2025 Est.*Q1 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Est.*Q2 2025 Actual
Revenue ($M)$47.01*$43.55 $43.83*$44.03
Primary EPS ($)$(0.03)*$(0.052) $(0.10)*$(0.087)

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

KPIs and operating metrics

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
DTC Total Orders (000s)622 640
DTC Active Customers (000s)678 664
DTC Net Revenue per Order ($)66.49 65.22
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$(6.87) $1.00
Plastic Intensity (lbs/$100 revenue)0.99 0.93

Notes:

  • YoY variances primarily reflect lower 2024 ad spend (smaller active base) and temporary disruptions from the platform migration; sequential gains reflect higher orders offset by lower AOV .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 2025)Current Guidance (Q2 2025)Change
RevenueFY 2025Decline approx. mid‑single‑digit to low double‑digit % YoY Decline approx. mid‑single‑digit to low double‑digit % YoY Maintained
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025Negative low single‑digit millions to positive low single‑digit millions Negative low single‑digit millions to breakeven Narrowed lower (removed positive)
Quarterly Trajectory2H 2025Q1 lowest; improve Q2–Q3; slight YoY growth in Q4 Q1 lowest; improve Q3; slight YoY growth in Q4 Maintained

Rationale: Company is prioritizing topline rebuild via higher advertising investment while maintaining financial discipline; narrowing of EBITDA outlook reflects this choice .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Q-2)Q1 2025 (Q-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
Platform migration / CXShopify transition underway; expected near-term challenges, long-term scalability $2–$3M Q1 revenue headwind; most critical issues addressed; focus on experience, content, offers Migration caused AOV/revenue shortfall; largest issues resolved by end-Q2/early-Q3; continue optimization Improving execution post-migration
Revenue trajectoryFirst sequential growth since 2022; Q1 seasonally lower; target YoY growth in Q4’25 Reiterated Q1 revenue trough; rebuilding with assortment/content; acquisitions to help Sequential growth (rev/orders); still targeting slight YoY growth in Q4’25 Stabilizing, gradual recovery
Advertising strategyDisciplined spend; focus on ROI and channels Increased spend with improved first-order economics; CTV/influencers ahead $2.7M spend (+11.6% YoY) with stronger paybacks; plan to lean in Re-accelerating with discipline
Gross margin52.4% (Q4) with promo mix/inventory actions 53.0% (Q1) down 260 bps YoY on fee removal 55.4% (Q2) +150 bps YoY on vendor funding/less discounting Strengthening
Assortment expansion+30% 3P brands YoY in 2024; push beyond cleaning +41% brands, +54% products YoY; expand beauty, personal care, pantry, baby, wellness +47% brands, +59% products YoY; emphasis on human health/VMS/clean beauty Accelerating breadth
Tariffs / macroMonitoring; exploring sourcing shifts; retail exit by 1H’25 Tariffs embedded in outlook; mitigation via pricing/suppliers/sourcing Margin resilience despite tariff uncertainty Managed headwind
Balance sheet / liquidityTerm debt fully repaid; ABL $7.5M outstanding ABL amended/extended to 2028 post-Q1 ABL amended/extended; positive operating/total cash flow; inventory down QoQ Improved flexibility
Shareholder mattersNYSE compliance plan accepted; 18 months to cure; market cap currently above threshold; HumanCo engagement working group De-risked listing; active engagement

Management Commentary

  • “Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was negative $900,000… the decline was primarily driven by the short term revenue impact of our e‑commerce platform migration. Importantly… we delivered positive operating and total cash flow” — CEO Jeff Yurcisin .
  • “Our gross margin was 55.4%, up 150 basis points… due to higher third‑party vendor funding and more targeted promotional strategies” — Interim CFO Tom Siragusa .
  • “We continued our third‑party assortment expansion growing the number of brands offered by 47% and individual products by 59% year over year” — CEO .
  • “We are maintaining our full‑year revenue guidance, while narrowing our adjusted EBITDA outlook… prioritizing growth while maintaining financial discipline” — CFO .
  • “The revenue drop in Q2 compared to our previous forecast was 100% driven by this platform migration, and it impacted AOV in particular” — CEO (Q&A) .

Q&A Highlights

  • AOV pressure and migration: Management attributed lower net revenue per order to migration-related issues that impacted subscribers with long lists and those placing smaller orders; they rebuilt specialized experiences and expect improvements in repeat behavior and AOV as issues resolve .
  • Marketing payback and spend: The company is seeing better LTV/CAC post‑migration and intends to lean into channels where paybacks meet higher standards than prior years, supporting H2 growth ambitions .
  • Category mix shift: Grove is moving beyond cleaning into personal care, VMS, and clean beauty, guided by its standards and customer demand; category breakout not disclosed, but human health is the #1 strategic push in 2025 .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025: Revenue $44.03M vs. $43.83M*, EPS $(0.087) vs. $(0.10)* — small beats; coverage thin (1 estimate for each) [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • Q1 2025: Revenue $43.55M vs. $47.01M*, EPS $(0.052) vs. $(0.03)* — both missed amid migration headwinds [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
  • Implication: With only a single estimate, small operational changes or guidance tone shifts can drive outsized moves; consensus recalibration could follow if sequential growth and margin resilience persist into Q3/Q4.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Platform migration headwinds are receding; management expects sequential revenue growth into H2 and slight YoY growth in Q4, a key milestone after sustained declines .
  • Gross margin durability (55.4%) despite macro/tariff noise, aided by higher vendor funding and tighter promotions, supports earnings power as volume rebuilds .
  • Positive operating cash flow and ABL extension to 2028 provide liquidity runway to invest in growth while pursuing profitability discipline .
  • Re‑accelerating, higher‑ROI advertising is intended to rebuild the active base and orders; watch for AOV normalization and repeat-rate recovery as migration issues fade .
  • Strategic narrative broadened from “beyond plastic” to human health; assortment growth into beauty, personal care, VMS, and verified claims (Novi) may lift basket size and frequency over time .
  • Governance/activism: HumanCo’s public letter and Board working group could surface strategic alternatives and operational catalysts; listing compliance plan acceptance reduces a technical overhang .
  • Near-term trading setup: Low estimate coverage and a path to a Q4 return to YoY growth mean prints and guidance updates (plus proof of AOV/order normalization) are likely stock movers .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Q2 2025 P&L excerpts (company): Revenue $44.026M; Gross profit $24.395M; Operating loss $(3.490)M; Net loss $(3.626)M; EPS $(0.10) .
  • Q2 2025 operating metrics (company): DTC Orders 640k; Active Customers 664k; DTC Net Revenue per Order $65.22; Operating cash flow $1.0M .
  • Q1 2025 migration impact estimate: $2–$3M revenue headwind; GM 53.0%; Adj. EBITDA $(1.6)M .

Sources: Company press releases and earnings call transcripts as cited. All estimates marked with an asterisk are Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Citations

  • Q2 2025 press release:
  • Q2 2025 earnings call:
  • Q1 2025 press release and call:
  • Q4 2024 call:
  • Other releases (context): Novi partnership ; Microplastics survey ; HumanCo letter .